Fabio Di Giannantonio manage to achieve his dream of winning a premier class race last weekend at the Lusail International Circuit, winning the 2023 Qatar Grand Prix as he continues to search for a seat in MotoGP in 2024, but as far as the battle for the world championship is concerned, Francesco Bagnaia has taken one giant step towards becoming Ducati’s first two-time MotoGP World Champion, and the first Ducati rider to win back-to-back MotoGP World Championships by finishing second in the grand prix after finishing fifth in the sprint, while Jorge Martín after winning the sprint, finished a disastrous 10th in the grand prix after struggling with his tyres again in a result that could well cost him any chance of winning his first world championship as the grid heads to the Circuit Ricardo Tormo, about a 20 to 30 minute drive west of Valencia, for the title decider, the 2023 Valencian Grand Prix, the 20th and final round of the 2023 FIM MotoGP World Championship!
And, the title decider heads to the final round in consecutive years for the first time in the MotoGP era and for the first time in the premier class since going to the final round for four-straight years from 1978 to 1981 with Bagnaia (437 points) for the Ducati Lenovo Team having a 21-point lead over Martín (416 points) from Prima Pramac Racing heading into the final round in Valencia!
So, Bagnaia can become Ducati’s first two-time MotoGP World Champion, and in the process become the fourth Italian in history to win multiple premier class world championships, joining Umberto Masetti (1950, 1952), Giacomo Agostini (1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1975), and Valentino Rossi (2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2008, 2009), in the sprint this weekend at the 2023 Valencian Grand Prix if:
1. Bagnaia wins the sprint, and Martín finishes third or lower.
2. Bagnaia finishes second, and Martín finishes fifth or lower.
3. Bagnaia finishes third, and Martín finishes seventh or lower.
4. Bagnaia finishes fourth, and Martín finishes eighth or lower.
5. Bagnaia finishes fifth, and Martín finishes ninth or lower.
6. Bagnaia finishes sixth, and Martín finishes 10th or lower.
Alternatively, Bagnaia can become Ducati’s first two-time MotoGP World Champion, and in the process become the fourth Italian in history to win multiple premier class world championships, joining Umberto Masetti (1950, 1952), Giacomo Agostini (1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1975), and Valentino Rossi (2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2008, 2009), this weekend at the 2023 Valencian Grand Prix if Martín doesn’t outscore Bagnaia by 22 points or more!
However, Martín can become the fifth Spaniard in history to win the premier class world championship, joining Àlex Crivillé (1999), Jorge Lorenzo (2010, 2012, 2015), Marc Márquez (2013, 2014, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019), and Joan Mir (2020), and in the process, become the first independent team rider since Valentino Rossi back in 2001 to win the premier class world championship this weekend at the 2023 Valencian Grand Prix if he outscores Bagnaia by 22 points or more!
Behind the Top Two in the championship, Marco Bezzecchi (326 points) will third in the world championship in just his second year in the premier class for the Mooney VR46 Racing Team despite finishing a very disappointing 13th in both the sprint and the grand prix in Qatar, while Brad Binder (268 points) is locked into fourth in the final world championship standings for Red Bull KTM Factory Racing after finishing seventh in the sprint and fifth in the grand prix at the Lusail International Circuit!
Meanwhile, it is a four-way battle for fifth in the final standings between Johann Zarco (204 points) for Prima Pramac Racing, who will be joining the LCR Team in 2024, Aleix Espargaró (198 points) for Aprilia Racing, Luca Marini (194 points) for Mooney VR46 Racing Team, who is potentially off to the Repsol Honda Team in 2024, but nothing has been confirmed yet, and Maverick Viñales (192 points) for Aprilia Racing after Zarco finished 10th in the sprint and 12th in the grand prix, Espargaró retired from both the sprint and the grand prix, Marini finished third in both the sprint and the grand prix, and Viñales finished sixth in the sprint and fourth in the grand prix in Qatar!
And, both Fabio Quartararo (167 points) for Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP and Álex Márquez (165 points) for Gresini Racing MotoGP complete the Top 10 in the championship going into Valencia after the former finished eighth in the sprint and seventh in the grand prix, while the latter finished fourth in the sprint and sixth in the grand prix in Lusail!
Beyond the Top 10 in the standings, a number of riders will be finishing up with their current teams this weekend and moving to pastures new, including Marc Márquez, who will be leaving Honda and the Repsol Honda Team to join Gresini Racing MotoGP in 2024 after spending the first 11 years of his premier class career with Honda and the Repsol Honda Team, the first seven years mostly glorious years with six world championships!
Franco Morbidelli will also depart his current team in Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP to join Prima Pramac Racing in 2024, with Álex Rins departing LCR Honda Castrol to replace Morbidelli at Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP next year, while Pol Espargaró will depart GasGas Factory Racing Tech3 (and most likely the premier class) after this weekend, and will be replaced by newly-crowned Moto2 World Champion and 2021 Moto3 World Champion Pedro Acosta, who is set to be the most exciting and anticipated rookie rider in the premier class since Marc Márquez back in 2013!
Meanwhile, we have no idea at the time of publication as to the future of Fabio Di Giannantonio, and who will replace and fill the seemingly irreplaceable shoes of Marc Márquez at the Repsol Honda Team in 2024, and whoever fills those shoes will have Mount Everest (and perhaps more) to climb in order to get Honda back to the front of the grid at any point in the near future!
So, who is going to win the 2023 Valencian Grand Prix, and who is going to win the 2023 FIM MotoGP World Championship?
I will answer the second part of this question first, and I think Francesco Bagnaia will become a two-time MotoGP World Champion, and the 17th rider to win two or more premier class world championships, but I think Jorge Martín will finish off his amazing year on a high by winning the 2023 Valencian Grand Prix!